Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.192015 0.218564 0.247058 0.279869 0.316560 0.356276 0.402472
2025-12-28 0.157455 0.193120 0.233960 0.284018 0.343539 0.411860 0.496023
2026-01-04 0.134579 0.176024 0.226184 0.290994 0.372102 0.469810 0.595934
2026-01-11 0.115503 0.160066 0.216735 0.293448 0.393848 0.519958 0.689406
2026-01-18 0.101761 0.148583 0.210829 0.298657 0.418228 0.574002 0.790702
2026-01-25 0.091763 0.140513 0.207982 0.306790 0.446115 0.633574 0.902421
2026-02-01 0.080803 0.129505 0.199544 0.305794 0.460635 0.675329 0.992052
2026-02-08 0.071562 0.119753 0.191602 0.304247 0.473507 0.714782 1.080044
2026-02-15 0.063783 0.111210 0.184379 0.302701 0.485642 0.753212 1.168072
2026-02-22 0.058976 0.106763 0.182817 0.309296 0.509934 0.810209 1.285772
2026-03-01 0.053392 0.100341 0.177402 0.309144 0.523458 0.851469 1.381783
2026-03-08 0.048570 0.094634 0.172518 0.309221 0.536984 0.893037 1.479959
2026-03-15 0.044162 0.089311 0.168009 0.309911 0.552146 0.939012 1.589298
2026-03-22 0.040874 0.085648 0.165983 0.314564 0.574044 0.996816 1.720480
2026-03-29 0.038372 0.083170 0.165778 0.322269 0.601464 1.064924 1.871745
2026-04-05 0.035426 0.079467 0.162962 0.324990 0.620317 1.119758 2.003928
2026-04-12 0.033161 0.076856 0.161897 0.330718 0.644663 1.184893 2.156322
2026-04-19 0.031479 0.075248 0.162566 0.339642 0.675164 1.261930 2.332424
2026-04-26 0.028839 0.071273 0.158204 0.338555 0.687159 1.307324 2.456175
2026-05-03 0.026404 0.067445 0.153755 0.336863 0.697754 1.350565 2.577960
2026-05-10 0.024211 0.063889 0.149510 0.335169 0.708090 1.393646 2.701217
2026-05-17 0.023010 0.062502 0.149683 0.342398 0.735984 1.469815 2.887054
2026-05-24 0.021288 0.059651 0.146429 0.342232 0.749244 1.519528 3.026908